Serie A | Gameweek 30
Mar 30, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
We said: Fiorentina 2-2 AC Milan
Only one of the last 12 league matches between Fiorentina and Milan have ended in a draw, but that could be the outcome this weekend. The Viola will come up just shy of recording three straight home wins over the Rossoneri for a first time since the 1970s, but even one point would be welcome.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 45.47% . A win for AC Milan had a probability of 30.55% and a draw had a probability of 24% .
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.98%) . The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (7.35%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%) . The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood .
Result Fiorentina Draw AC Milan 45.47% ( 0.01) 23.98% ( 0) 30.55% ( -0.01)
Both teams to score 59.49% ( -0.01)
57.41% ( -0.01) 42.59% ( 0.01)
35% ( -0.01) 64.99% ( 0.01)
81.06% 18.94% ( 0)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 49.55% 50.45% ( 0)
73.39% ( -0.01) 26.61% ( 0.01)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 38.16% ( -0.01) 61.84% ( 0.01)
Fiorentina 45.47%
AC Milan 30.55%
Draw 23.98%
Fiorentina Draw AC Milan 2-1 @ 9.24% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.39% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.98% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.12% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.87% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.39% 4-1 @ 2.13% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.61% 4-2 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.34% Total : 45.47% 1-1 @ 11.1% 2-2 @ 6.11% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.04% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.98% 1-2 @ 7.35% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.67% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.42% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.24% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.95% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 3.15% Total : 30.55%
How you voted: Fiorentina vs AC Milan
154
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-18 03:04:40
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