Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 27

Mar 3, 2024 at 2pm UK

Stadio Carlo Castellani

Empoli
0 - 1
Cagliari

FT(HT: 0-0)

Jankto (69')
Gaetano (17'), Mina (79'), Scuffet (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Cagliari, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Empoli

All competitions

Last Game: Sassuolo 2-3 Empoli
Saturday, February 24 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cagliari

All competitions

Last Game: Cagliari 1-1 Napoli
Sunday, February 25 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

As Empoli are enjoying their best form of the season, they should expect to overcome a fragile Cagliari side that cannot buy a win on the road. The Sardinians have scored only eight Serie A goals away from home this season, while their hosts are now full of confidence in the final third. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 36.76%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 35.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.98%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cagliari in this match.

Result
Empoli	Draw	Cagliari
35.88% ( 0.19)	27.36% ( 0.06)	36.76% ( -0.25)

Both teams to score 49.75% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.18% (

-0.22)

55.82% (

0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.06% (

-0.18)

76.94% (

0.18)

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.27% (

0.01)

29.73% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.2% (

0.01)

65.79% (

-0.01)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.8% (

-0.26)

29.19% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.86% (

-0.32)

65.13% (

0.32)

Score Analysis

Empoli 35.87%

Cagliari 36.75%

Draw 27.36%

Empoli	Draw	Cagliari
1-0 @ 10.52% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.18% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 35.87%	1-1 @ 12.96% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.36%	0-1 @ 10.68% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.98% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.54% Total : 36.75%