Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 26

Feb 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Bologna
2 - 0
Hellas Verona

Fabbian (27'), Freuler (65')
Freuler (20'), Ferguson (69')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Duda (45+6'), Cabal (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Bologna and Hellas Verona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bologna

All competitions

Last Game: Lazio 1-2 Bologna
Sunday, February 18 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hellas Verona

All competitions

Last Game: Hellas Verona 2-2 Juventus
Saturday, February 17 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Bologna 2-0 Hellas Verona

Bologna will fancy their chances of extending their winning run to five against a side embroiled in relegation trouble, as Verona come into the fixture with just one victory in 2024. Only four points separate Verona and the five teams above them, so the relegation battle remains wide open in Serie A, but they need wins urgently to pull themselves up the table, and this looks like a difficult task. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 63.22%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 13.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.77%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Bologna in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bologna.

Result
Bologna	Draw	Hellas Verona
63.22% ( -0.18)	23.07% ( 0.07)	13.71% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 39.46% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.46% (

-0.03)

57.54% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.68% (

-0.02)

78.32% (

0.02)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.16% (

-0.08)

17.83% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.42% (

-0.13)

48.58% (

0.13)

Hellas Verona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.02% (

0.17)

51.98% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.01% (

0.11)

85.99% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Bologna 63.21%

Hellas Verona 13.71%

Draw 23.07%

Bologna	Draw	Hellas Verona
1-0 @ 15.98% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 13.77% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.92% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 5.18% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.23% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.83% Total : 63.21%	1-1 @ 10.45% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.27% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.4% Total : 23.07%	0-1 @ 6.07% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.24% Total : 13.71%