Leganes

2 - 1

Sporting Gijon

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 42.95%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 27.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.9%) and 2-1 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.22%), while for a Sporting Gijon win it was 0-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leganes would win this match.