Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 60.8%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Amorebieta had a probability of 16.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.66%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for an Amorebieta win it was 0-1 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Eibar in this match.

Result
Eibar	Draw	Amorebieta
60.8%	22.49%	16.71%

Both teams to score 47.4%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.55%

50.45%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.62%

72.38%

Eibar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.84%

16.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.39%

45.61%

Amorebieta Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.53%

43.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.32%

79.68%

Score Analysis

Eibar 60.79%

Amorebieta 16.71%

Draw 22.49%

Eibar	Draw	Amorebieta
1-0 @ 12.8% 2-0 @ 11.66% 2-1 @ 9.72% 3-0 @ 7.09% 3-1 @ 5.91% 4-0 @ 3.23% 4-1 @ 2.69% 3-2 @ 2.46% 5-0 @ 1.18% 4-2 @ 1.12% 5-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.95% Total : 60.79%	1-1 @ 10.66% 0-0 @ 7.02% 2-2 @ 4.05% Other @ 0.75% Total : 22.49%	0-1 @ 5.85% 1-2 @ 4.44% 0-2 @ 2.44% 1-3 @ 1.23% 2-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.61% Total : 16.71%