Cartagena

1 - 0

Alcorcon

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 46.37%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 25.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.37%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.87%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 0-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cartagena in this match.