Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 72.74%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Al Riyadh had a probability of 10.13%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.31%) and 0-3 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.15%), while for an Al Riyadh win it was 1-0 (3.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Al Riyadh	Draw	Al-Ahli
10.13% ( -0.27)	17.13% ( -0.22)	72.74% ( 0.48)

Both teams to score 46.13% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.82% (

0.19)

42.18% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.41% (

0.19)

64.59% (

-0.19)

Al Riyadh Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.35% (

-0.4)

48.65% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.3% (

-0.29)

83.7% (

0.29)

Al-Ahli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.83% (

0.17)

10.17% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.58% (

0.39)

33.42% (

-0.39)

Score Analysis

Al Riyadh 10.13%

Al-Ahli 72.73%

Draw 17.13%

Al Riyadh	Draw	Al-Ahli
1-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.34% Total : 10.13%	1-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.68% Total : 17.13%	0-2 @ 12.92% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 11.31% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 9.85% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 9.31% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 7.1% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 5.63% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 4.05% ( 0.04) 0-5 @ 2.57% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 1.85% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.46% ( -0) 0-6 @ 0.98% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.15% Total : 72.73%