Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 40.57%. A win for Sochi had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Sochi win was 1-0 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
Sochi	Draw	Spartak Moscow
32.95% ( -0.18)	26.47% ( -0.04)	40.57% ( 0.22)

Both teams to score 52.12% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.37% (

0.13)

52.62% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.72% (

0.11)

74.27% (

-0.11)

Sochi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.98% (

-0.06)

30.01% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.86% (

-0.07)

66.13% (

0.06)

Spartak Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.46% (

0.17)

25.53% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.61% (

0.24)

60.38% (

-0.25)

Score Analysis

Sochi 32.95%

Spartak Moscow 40.57%

Draw 26.47%

Sochi	Draw	Spartak Moscow
1-0 @ 9.22% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.04% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.35% Total : 32.95%	1-1 @ 12.59% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.47%	0-1 @ 10.46% 1-2 @ 8.6% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 7.14% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.91% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.25% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.41% Total : 40.57%

Head to Head

Sep 16, 2023 5pm

Gameweek 24

Spartak Moscow

1-0

Sochi

Babic (90+1')
Khlusevich (29'), Sobolev (90+7')

Batyrev (5'), Zabolotnyi (89')

Nov 5, 2022 11am

Gameweek 16

Sochi

1-1

Spartak Moscow

Zaika (44')

Promes (7')

Aug 14, 2022 6pm

Gameweek 5

Spartak Moscow

3-0

Sochi

Promes (57', 84'), Zinkovskiy (71')
Sobolev (59')

Kravtsov (88')

Dec 13, 2021 4pm

Gameweek 18

Sochi

3-0

Spartak Moscow

Noboa (28' pen.), Popov (89'), Yusupov (90+7' pen.)

Ignatov (27'), Yusupov (36'), Prokhin (45+3'), Tsallagov (48'), Rodrigao (63'), Gigot (79'), Bakaev (90'), Adamov (90+1'), Popov (90+3')
Noboa (66'), Caufriez (90+6')

Aug 26, 2021 4.30pm

Gameweek 6

Spartak Moscow

1-2

Sochi

Zobnin (60')
Zobnin (38'), Sobolev (90+2'), Hendrix (90+3')

Barsov (65'), Yusupov (72')
Angban (34'), Margasov (39'), Rodrigao (41'), Dzhanaev (90+5')

Form Guide