Russian Premier League | Gameweek 11

Oct 2, 2022 at 5pm UK

Stade Municipal 1

Nizhny Novgorod
1 - 2
Spartak Moscow

Maiga (37')
Masoero (23'), Yoldoshev (78'), Yansane (87')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Nicholson (66'), Promes (75' pen.)
Denisov (34'), Dzhikiya (90+1'), Meleshin (90+5')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Nizhny Novgorod and Spartak Moscow.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nizhny Novgorod

All competitions

Last Game: Nizhny Novgorod 0-2 Orenburg
Sunday, September 18 at 12pm in Russian Premier League

Goals
for

Spartak Moscow

All competitions

Last Game: Spartak Moscow 1-0 Lokomotiv
Sunday, September 18 at 5pm in Russian Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 53.6%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 22.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.92%) and 1-2 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 1-0 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.

Result
Nizhny Novgorod	Draw	Spartak Moscow
22.03% ( 0.02)	24.37% ( -0.02)	53.6% ( -0)

Both teams to score 50.41% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.07% (

0.09)

50.93% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.19% (

0.08)

72.8% (

-0.08)

Nizhny Novgorod Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.18% (

0.07)

37.82% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.41% (

0.07)

74.59% (

-0.07)

Spartak Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.06% (

0.03)

18.94% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.55% (

0.06)

50.45% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Nizhny Novgorod 22.03%

Spartak Moscow 53.59%

Draw 24.36%

Nizhny Novgorod	Draw	Spartak Moscow
1-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.63% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.39% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 1.6% Total : 22.03%	1-1 @ 11.58% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.16% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.93% Total : 24.36%	0-1 @ 11.91% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 9.92% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.64% ( 0) 0-3 @ 5.5% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.35% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 2.29% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.23% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.08% Total : 53.59%