Russian Premier League | Gameweek 26

Apr 28, 2024 at 12pm UK

Akhmat Arena

Akhmat Grozny
5 - 1
Nizhny Novgorod

Konate (25', 53'), Kamilov (45+4'), Satara (65'), Sadulaev (87')
Lovat (21'), Berisha (62')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Kutateladze (42')
Zhivoglyadov (37'), Bozhenov (45+4'), Troshechkin (64'), Kakkoev (90+1')
Bozhenov (54')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Akhmat Grozny and Nizhny Novgorod.

Form, Standings, Stats

Akhmat Grozny

All competitions

Last Game: Akhmat Grozny 1-0 Sochi
Thursday, April 25 at 6.30pm in Russian Premier League

Goals
for

Nizhny Novgorod

All competitions

Last Game: Nizhny Novgorod 2-3 Lokomotiv
Wednesday, April 24 at 4.15pm in Russian Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 44.67%. A win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 27.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Akhmat Grozny win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Nizhny Novgorod win was 0-1 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Akhmat Grozny would win this match.

Result
Akhmat Grozny	Draw	Nizhny Novgorod
44.67% ( 0.18)	27.46% ( 0.06)	27.87% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 46.93% (

-0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.81% (

-0.31)

58.19% (

0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.16% (

-0.24)

78.84% (

0.24)

Akhmat Grozny Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.06% (

-0.05)

25.94% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.06% (

-0.07)

60.94% (

0.07)

Nizhny Novgorod Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.36% (

-0.36)

36.64% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.57% (

-0.36)

73.43% (

0.36)

Score Analysis

Akhmat Grozny 44.67%

Nizhny Novgorod 27.87%

Draw 27.45%

Akhmat Grozny	Draw	Nizhny Novgorod
1-0 @ 12.82% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.65% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 3.91% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.11% Total : 44.67%	1-1 @ 12.87% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.5% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.45%	0-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.46% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.85% Total : 27.87%