Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 62.28%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for NK Varazdin had a probability of 17.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a NK Varazdin win it was 0-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hajduk Split would win this match.

Result
Hajduk Split	Draw	NK Varazdin
62.28% ( -0.04)	20.69% ( 0.09)	17.04% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 53.83% (

-0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.79% (

-0.5)

42.21% (

0.5)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.39% (

-0.5)

64.62% (

0.5)

Hajduk Split Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.01% (

-0.17)

12.99% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.49% (

-0.34)

39.51% (

0.34)

NK Varazdin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.87% (

-0.36)

38.13% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.1% (

-0.34)

74.9% (

0.35)

Score Analysis

Hajduk Split 62.27%

NK Varazdin 17.04%

Draw 20.69%

Hajduk Split	Draw	NK Varazdin
2-0 @ 10.31% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 10.11% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 9.95% 3-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.77% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 3.58% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.45% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.29% Total : 62.27%	1-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.69%	0-1 @ 4.78% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.21% Total : 17.04%