Primeira Liga | Gameweek 34

May 18, 2024 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio Jose Gomes

Estrela Amadora
1 - 0
Gil Vicente

Kikas (24')
N'do (62'), Bucca (90+4'), Nanu (90+4')
Jaba (90+7')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Pereira (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estrela Amadora and Gil Vicente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estrela Amadora

All competitions

Last Game: Vizela 4-0 Estrela Amadora
Saturday, May 11 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Gil Vicente

All competitions

Last Game: Gil Vicente 2-0 Farense
Sunday, May 12 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

We said: Estrela Amadora 1-1 Gil Vicente

Saturday's match is tricky to call, as Estrela's home form betters only four clubs in the Primeira Liga, while Gil Vicente's road return is nothing to write home about. However, the away side's recent four-match undefeated run — with four points picked up from their recent six — points to them finding some form at the backend of the season, and a stalemate could be on the cards in Amadora. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 42.27%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result
Estrela Amadora	Draw	Gil Vicente
31.95% ( -0.06)	25.78% ( 0.01)	42.27% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 54.02% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.97% (

-0.07)

50.02% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.99% (

-0.06)

72% (

0.05)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.61% (

-0.07)

29.38% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.63% (

-0.09)

65.36% (

0.08)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.5% (

-0.01)

23.5% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.47% (

-0.01)

57.53% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Estrela Amadora 31.95%

Gil Vicente 42.27%

Draw 25.77%

Estrela Amadora	Draw	Gil Vicente
1-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 31.95%	1-1 @ 12.24% 0-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.77%	0-1 @ 10% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.87% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.24% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.28% 0-3 @ 3.5% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.55% 0-4 @ 1.27% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2% Total : 42.27%