Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 19

Dec 26, 2023 at 8pm UK

Old Trafford

Man Utd
3 - 2
Aston Villa

Garnacho (59', 71'), Hojlund (82')
Fernandes (73')

FT(HT: 0-2)

McGinn (21'), Dendoncker (26')
Ramsey (45+2'), Carlos (74'), Konsa (87')

Unai Emery: 'Aston Villa must move on after collapse against Manchester United'

Aston Villa manager Unai Emery has admitted that his side cannot afford to dwell on losing to Manchester United on Boxing Day after previously holding a two-goal lead.

Dec 26, 23:05

West Ham United's Mohammed Kudus in action with Manchester United's Luke Shaw on December 23, 2023

Manchester United handed Luke Shaw, Sofyan Amrabat injury concerns

Manchester United duo Luke Shaw and Sofyan Amrabat missed Tuesday's Premier League clash with Aston Villa due to minor injury problems.

Dec 27, 12:48

Manchester United forward Marcus Rashford on December 26, 2023

Erik ten Hag hails "very good" Marcus Rashford performance against Aston Villa

Manchester United boss Erik ten Hag hails Marcus Rashford's contribution against Aston Villa amid the ongoing criticism of the forward.

Dec 27, 13:28

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester United

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: West Ham 2-0 Man Utd
Saturday, December 23 at 12.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Aston Villa

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Aston Villa 1-1 Sheff Utd
Friday, December 22 at 8pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 35.48% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.35%) and 2-0 (5.47%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.

Result
Manchester United	Draw	Aston Villa
41.56% ( -0.16)	22.96% ( -0.01)	35.48% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 65.19% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.07% (

0.11)

35.93% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.98% (

0.13)

58.02% (

-0.12)

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.14% (

-0.02)

17.86% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.37% (

-0.04)

48.63% (

0.04)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.37% (

0.14)

20.64% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.8% (

0.22)

53.2% (

-0.22)

Score Analysis

Manchester United 41.56%

Aston Villa 35.48%

Draw 22.96%

Manchester United	Draw	Aston Villa
2-1 @ 8.63% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.96% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.91% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.14% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.68% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.94% Total : 41.56%	1-1 @ 10.02% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.96%	1-2 @ 7.91% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.82% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.16% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.58% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 3% Total : 35.48%