Major League Soccer

Mar 24, 2024 at 2.30am UK

Avaya Stadium

Earthquakes
3 - 2
Seattle

Costa (42'), Espinoza (43'), Ebobisse (82')
Kikanovic (70'), Skahan (90+3')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Ruidiaz (72' pen.), Musovski (81')
Teves (52'), Ragen (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Seattle Sounders, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions

Last Game: Kansas 2-1 Earthquakes
Sunday, March 17 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Seattle Sounders

All competitions

Last Game: Seattle 1-1 Colorado
Saturday, March 16 at 7.55pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: San Jose Earthquakes 2-1 Seattle Sounders

San Jose Earthquakes and Seattle Sounders have both stumbled into the new campaign and will be looking to find their feet this weekend. The Quakes' home advantage gives them a slight edge here and we finally see them ending their losing streak in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 43.58%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 31.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 0-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.

Result
San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Seattle Sounders
43.58% ( -0.09)	25.11% ( -0.03)	31.31% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 55.96% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.62% (

0.16)

47.38% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.4% (

0.15)

69.6% (

-0.15)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.26% (

0.03)

21.74% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.09% (

0.04)

54.91% (

-0.04)

Seattle Sounders Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.51% (

0.16)

28.49% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.73% (

0.2)

64.27% (

-0.2)

Score Analysis

San Jose Earthquakes 43.58%

Seattle Sounders 31.31%

Draw 25.11%

San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Seattle Sounders
1-0 @ 9.45% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.61% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.67% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.43% Total : 43.58%	1-1 @ 11.86% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.19% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.11%	0-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.45% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.68% Total : 31.31%