Major League Soccer

Jun 4, 2023 at 1.30am UK

CityPark

St Louis City
3 - 0
Houston

Lowen (9' pen.), Ostrak (51'), Gioacchini (83' pen.)
Blom (45+5'), Jackson (69'), Alm (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Caicedo (45+2'), Carrasquilla (45+5'), Franco (45+7'), Olsen (46'), Bartlow (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between St Louis City and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Louis City

Last Game: St Louis City 3-1 Vancouver
Sunday, May 28 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Houston Dynamo

All competitions

Last Game: Vancouver 6-2 Houston
Thursday, June 1 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: St Louis City 3-1 Houston Dynamo

St Louis City have found some convincing form at CityPark in recent weeks and will be confident of continuing their winning run on home soil against a Houston side who come into this game wounded. Dynamo face another tough away match as they look to respond after their battering in Canada on Wednesday - we cannot envisage Olsen's men earning anything from their trip to Missouri this weekend.

How to watch

You can watch St Louis City vs. Houston Dynamo and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Louis City would win this match.

Result
St Louis City	Draw	Houston Dynamo
39.57% ( -0.55)	24.78% ( -0.11)	35.65% ( 0.67)

Both teams to score 58.45% (

0.52)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.28% (

0.63)

44.72% (

-0.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.92% (

0.61)

67.08% (

-0.6)

St Louis City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.49% (

22.51% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.93% (

56.08% (

-0)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.43% (

0.67)

24.57% (

-0.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.94% (

0.94)

59.06% (

-0.93)

Score Analysis

St Louis City 39.57%

Houston Dynamo 35.65%

Draw 24.77%

St Louis City	Draw	Houston Dynamo
2-1 @ 8.63% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 8.25% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 6.15% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.06% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.32% Total : 39.57%	1-1 @ 11.57% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.06% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.77%	1-2 @ 8.12% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.8% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 1% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.8% Total : 35.65%