Major League Soccer
May 19, 2024 at 2.30am UK
Rio Tinto Stadium
We said: Real Salt Lake 2-1 Colorado Rapids
The Rapids may have been the triumphant side in the matchup between these two earlier this season but Salt Lake have since gone on to prove themselves as the top-performing side in the Western Conference, leading us to believe they will win this one.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 62.34% . A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 17.95% .
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.94%) and 1-0 (8.13%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.93%) , while for a Colorado Rapids win it was 1-2 (4.91%) . The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.
Result Real Salt Lake Draw Colorado Rapids 62.34% ( -0) 19.71% ( 0.01) 17.95% ( -0.02)
Both teams to score 59.26% ( -0.1)
64% ( -0.11) 36% ( 0.11)
41.9% ( -0.12) 58.09% ( 0.12)
88.9% ( -0.04) 11.09% ( 0.03)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 64.51% ( -0.07) 35.48% ( 0.07)
66.65% ( -0.09) 33.34% ( 0.08)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 30.03% ( -0.09) 69.96% ( 0.09)
Real Salt Lake 62.34%
Colorado Rapids 17.95%
Draw 19.71%
Real Salt Lake Draw Colorado Rapids 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.94% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.13% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 7.2% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.96% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.6% 4-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.58% ( -0) 5-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.72% Total : 62.34% 1-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 19.71% 1-2 @ 4.91% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.06% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.23% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.8% ( -0) Other @ 2.98% Total : 17.95%
How you voted: Salt Lake vs Colorado
Real Salt Lake
Draw
Colorado Rapids
8
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-17 23:22:48
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