Nashville have been a tough nut to crack defensively in the early stages of the season, while Montreal are still trying to find someone who can create chances and fill the void left when Djordje Mihailovic departed for AZ Alkmaar in the Dutch Eredivisie.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 29.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 0-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Nashville SC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Nashville SC.