Major League Soccer

May 19, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Nippert Stadium

Cincinnati
3 - 1
St Louis City

Acosta (26' pen.), Kubo (49'), Santos (80')
Murphy (36')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Miazga (54' og.)
Kijima (35'), Adeniran (44'), Ostrak (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and St Louis City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

All competitions

Last Game: Cincinnati 1-0 Atlanta
Thursday, May 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

St Louis City

All competitions

Last Game: St Louis City 0-2 Los Angeles
Thursday, May 16 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: FC Cincinnati 2-0 St Louis City

While St Louis City do have the tools to make things tough for their hosts, FC Cincinnati find themselves in a fine run of form and will head into the weekend with plenty of confidence and momentum on their side. With home advantage and plenty of quality at both ends of the pitch, we back Pat Noonan's men to make it six wins on the bounce on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 66.89%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 14.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9%), while for a St Louis City win it was 0-1 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
FC Cincinnati	Draw	St Louis City
66.89% ( 1.88)	19.07% ( -0.21)	14.04% ( -1.67)

Both teams to score 52.15% (

-3.61)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.15% (

-2.62)

40.85% (

2.62)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.77% (

-2.73)

63.23% (

2.73)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.69% (

-0.26)

11.31% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.05% (

-0.57)

35.95% (

0.57)

St Louis City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.8% (

-3.88)

41.2% (

3.88)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.27% (

-3.63)

77.73% (

3.63)

Score Analysis

FC Cincinnati 66.88%

St Louis City 14.04%

Draw 19.07%

FC Cincinnati	Draw	St Louis City
2-0 @ 11.06% ( 1.06) 1-0 @ 10.15% ( 1.07) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 8.04% ( 0.69) 3-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 4.38% ( 0.34) 4-1 @ 3.89% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.41) 5-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.13) 4-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.24) 5-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.93% Total : 66.88%	1-1 @ 9% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.54) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.51) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.24) Other @ 0.12% Total : 19.07%	0-1 @ 4.13% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.42) 0-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.31) 1-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.27) Other @ 1.62% Total : 14.04%