Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 28

Aug 29, 2021 at 1am UK

RFK Stadium

DC United
3 - 1
Philadelphia

Kamara (36' pen.), Reyna (49'), Abila (90+5')
Najar (55')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Birnbaum (22' og.)
Elliott (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between DC United and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 44.85%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that DC United would win this match.

Result
DC United	Draw	Philadelphia Union
44.85%	25.62%	29.53%

Both teams to score 53.4%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.68%

50.32%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.74%

72.26%

DC United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.61%

22.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.1%

55.9%

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.8%

31.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.46%

67.54%

Score Analysis

DC United 44.85%

Philadelphia Union 29.53%

Draw 25.61%

DC United	Draw	Philadelphia Union
1-0 @ 10.45% 2-1 @ 9.11% 2-0 @ 7.82% 3-1 @ 4.55% 3-0 @ 3.9% 3-2 @ 2.65% 4-1 @ 1.7% 4-0 @ 1.46% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.21% Total : 44.85%	1-1 @ 12.17% 0-0 @ 6.99% 2-2 @ 5.31% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.61%	0-1 @ 8.14% 1-2 @ 7.09% 0-2 @ 4.74% 1-3 @ 2.75% 2-3 @ 2.06% 0-3 @ 1.84% Other @ 2.91% Total : 29.53%