Major League Soccer

Oct 9, 2022 at 7.30pm UK

Toyota Park

Chicago Fire
1 - 1
New England

Monis (90+2')
Pineda (18'), Mueller (44')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Borrero (88')
Vrioni (57'), Makoun (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and New England Revolution, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chicago Fire

All competitions

Last Game: Cincinnati 2-3 Chicago Fire
Sunday, October 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

New England Revolution

All competitions

Last Game: New England 2-1 Atlanta
Saturday, October 1 at 6.30pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Chicago Fire 1-1 New England Revolution

There was nothing to separate the two sides in the last meeting, and with nothing of note to play for it would be hard to expect a high-scoring game. The teams are most likely to cancel each other out and end the season sharing the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 51.88%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 24.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Chicago Fire	Draw	New England Revolution
51.88% ( 0.58)	24.09% ( 0.02)	24.03% ( -0.59)

Both teams to score 53.67% (

-0.71)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.21% (

-0.63)

47.78% (

0.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.03% (

-0.58)

69.97% (

0.58)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.6% (

-0.02)

18.4% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.45% (

-0.03)

49.55% (

0.03)

New England Revolution Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.77% (

-0.85)

34.22% (

0.85)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.08% (

-0.93)

70.92% (

0.93)

Score Analysis

Chicago Fire 51.87%

New England Revolution 24.03%

Draw 24.09%

Chicago Fire	Draw	New England Revolution
1-0 @ 10.65% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 5.46% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.31% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.35% Total : 51.87%	1-1 @ 11.43% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.09%	0-1 @ 6.75% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.19% Total : 24.03%