Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 25

Mar 8, 2024 at 8pm UK

Allianz Riviera

Nice
1 - 2
Montpellier

Boga (12')
Rosario (42')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Todibo (10' og.), Savanier (42' pen.)
Khazri (47'), Leroy (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nice

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Toulouse 2-1 Nice
Sunday, March 3 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Montpellier HSC

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Montpellier 2-2 Strasbourg
Sunday, March 3 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

We said: Nice 1-0 Montpellier HSC

Goals have been hard to come by all season for Nice, but even their defence has been unable to bail them out in recent weeks as their slide down the table has continued. Against another side struggling for form though, this could be a scrappy encounter with little to separate the two, but defensive injuries and a suspension to Sagnan means Montpellier may struggle to keep Nice at bay here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 54.54%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 21.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Nice	Draw	Montpellier HSC
54.54% ( 0)	24.05% ( -0)	21.41%

Both teams to score 50.57%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.69% (

50.31%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.75% (

72.25%

Nice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.66% (

18.34% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.55% (

49.45% (

-0)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.92%

38.08% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.16%

74.84%

Score Analysis

Nice 54.53%

Montpellier HSC 21.41%

Draw 24.04%

Nice	Draw	Montpellier HSC
1-0 @ 11.84% 2-0 @ 10.04% 2-1 @ 9.7% 3-0 @ 5.68% 3-1 @ 5.48% 3-2 @ 2.65% 4-0 @ 2.41% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.33% 4-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.29% Total : 54.53%	1-1 @ 11.43% 0-0 @ 6.98% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.68% Other @ 0.95% Total : 24.04%	0-1 @ 6.74% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.52% 0-2 @ 3.26% 1-3 @ 1.78% 2-3 @ 1.51% 0-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.56% Total : 21.41%