Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 9

Oct 22, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau

Nantes
2 - 0
Montpellier

Mollet (44'), Bamba (74')
Mollet (65'), Bamba (75')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Kouyate (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nantes

All competitions

Last Game: Strasbourg 1-2 Nantes
Friday, October 6 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Montpellier HSC

All competitions

Last Game: Montpellier 4-2 Clermont
Sunday, October 8 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

We said: Nantes 2-2 Montpellier HSC

Sunday's game should be entertaining, but a score draw could be on the cards for teams expected to cancel each other out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 38.23%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 36.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nantes would win this match.

Result
Nantes	Draw	Montpellier HSC
38.23% ( 0.41)	25.22% ( 0.18)	36.55% ( -0.58)

Both teams to score 56.95% (

-0.68)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.3% (

-0.87)

46.7% (

0.88)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.04% (

-0.82)

68.96% (

0.83)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.92% (

-0.18)

24.08% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.64% (

-0.25)

58.36% (

0.26)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.01% (

-0.72)

24.99% (

0.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.35% (

-1.01)

59.65% (

1.02)

Score Analysis

Nantes 38.23%

Montpellier HSC 36.55%

Draw 25.22%

Nantes	Draw	Montpellier HSC
1-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 4.01% 3-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.96% Total : 38.23%	1-1 @ 11.88% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.22%	0-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 8.24% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.8% Total : 36.55%