Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 14

Dec 2, 2023 at 4pm UK

Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Lens
3 - 2
Lyon

Said (26'), Frankowski (52' pen., 74')
Machado (35'), Medina (41')
Sotoca (90')

FT(HT: 1-1)

O'Brien (15', 72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Arsenal 6-0 Lens
Wednesday, November 29 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Lyon

All competitions

Last Game: Lyon 0-2 Lille
Sunday, November 26 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

As bad as it was for them at Arsenal this week, Lens have shown the ability to pick themselves up after a disappointing result, while their defensive shape has improved tremendously versus French opponents. There have been a few positive takeaways for Lyon in recent matches, but not enough for us to believe their attacking quality has improved, with Les Gones tied for the fewest goals scored in Ligue 1 to date (nine). Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 49.98%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 25.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Lyon win was 0-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
Lens	Draw	Lyon
49.98% ( 0.04)	24.68% ( -0.01)	25.34% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 53.16% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.88% (

49.11% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.81% (

71.18% (

-0)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.33% (

0.02)

19.67% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.34% (

0.03)

51.65% (

-0.03)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.17% (

-0.03)

33.82% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.51% (

-0.03)

70.49% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Lens 49.97%

Lyon 25.34%

Draw 24.67%

Lens	Draw	Lyon
1-0 @ 10.81% 2-1 @ 9.54% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.17% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.1% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.94% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 2.91% Total : 49.97%	1-1 @ 11.72% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.65% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.67%	0-1 @ 7.21% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.36% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.3% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.41% ( -0) Other @ 2.28% Total : 25.34%