Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 4

Sep 3, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stade Oceane

Le Havre
3 - 0
Lorient

Kuzyaev (53'), Alioui (70'), Mbemba (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Le Havre and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Le Havre

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Rennes 2-2 Le Havre
Sunday, August 27 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Lorient

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lorient 4-1 Lille
Sunday, August 27 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Le Havre will be hoping to record their first win of the season, but we think that they will be edged out by a confident Lorient side who would have been buoyed by last weekend's 4-1 win over Lille. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 48.41%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 24.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.48%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (8.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Le Havre would win this match.

Result
Le Havre	Draw	Lorient
48.41% ( -1.4)	26.66% ( 0.04)	24.93% ( 1.36)

Both teams to score 46.94% (

1.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.94% (

0.84)

57.06% (

-0.84)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.05% (

0.67)

77.95% (

-0.67)

Le Havre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.37% (

-0.28)

23.63% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.28% (

-0.4)

57.72% (

0.4)

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.47% (

1.73)

38.53% (

-1.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.72% (

1.61)

75.28% (

-1.62)

Score Analysis

Le Havre 48.41%

Lorient 24.93%

Draw 26.65%

Le Havre	Draw	Lorient
1-0 @ 13.13% ( -0.54) 2-0 @ 9.48% ( -0.47) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.27) 3-1 @ 4.35% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.58% Total : 48.41%	1-1 @ 12.52% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 9.1% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.19) Other @ 0.72% Total : 26.65%	0-1 @ 8.68% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.31) 0-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.25) 1-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.14) Other @ 1.55% Total : 24.93%