League Two | Gameweek 18
Apr 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Keepmoat Stadium
We said: Doncaster Rovers 1-1 Walsall
There has not been a draw between these two teams since January 2008, but we are predicting a 1-1 on Tuesday night. Doncaster are in excellent form and have that winning feeling, but Walsall have enough quality to end the home side's run in the intriguing contest.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 43.04% . A win for Walsall had a probability of 31.94% and a draw had a probability of 25% .
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.21% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.03%) . The likeliest Walsall win was 0-1 (7.73%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%) . The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.
Result Doncaster Rovers Draw Walsall 43.04% ( 0.33) 25.02% ( -0.42) 31.94% ( 0.09)
Both teams to score 56.55% ( 1.45)
53.26% ( 1.87) 46.74% ( -1.87)
30.99% ( 1.73) 69.01% ( -1.73)
78.28% ( 0.95) 21.72% ( -0.95)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 45.11% ( 1.44) 54.88% ( -1.44)
72.24% ( 0.98) 27.76% ( -0.98)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 36.66% ( 1.24) 63.34% ( -1.24)
Doncaster Rovers 43.04%
Walsall 31.94%
Draw 25.01%
Doncaster Rovers Draw Walsall 1-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.46) 2-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 4.59% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.45% Total : 43.04% 1-1 @ 11.79% ( -0.26) 0-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.49) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.2) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.01% 0-1 @ 7.73% ( -0.4) 1-2 @ 7.56% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.86% Total : 31.94%
How you voted: Doncaster vs Walsall
Doncaster Rovers
Draw
Walsall
22
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-18 18:39:07
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