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La Liga | Gameweek 2
Aug 18, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Las Palmas

Valencia
1 - 0
Las Palmas

Pepelu (74' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Las Palmas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Las Palmas 1-1 Mallorca
Saturday, August 12 at 6.30pm in La Liga

We said: Valencia 2-1 Las Palmas

This has all of the makings of a very interesting match, and both sides will certainly believe that they can hurt the other in the final third of the field. It would not be a surprise to see a draw here, but we have a feeling that Valencia will edge a close match in front of their own supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Valencia win was 1-0 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.

Result
ValenciaDrawLas Palmas
32.5% (-0.921 -0.92) 27.49% (-0.299 -0.3) 40.01% (1.221 1.22)
Both teams to score 48.85% (0.673 0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.28% (0.946 0.95)56.72% (-0.946 -0.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.33% (0.756 0.76)77.67% (-0.755 -0.75)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.61% (-0.14399999999999 -0.14)32.39% (0.146 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.09% (-0.163 -0.16)68.91% (0.164 0.16)
Las Palmas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.26% (1.149 1.15)27.73% (-1.149 -1.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.69% (1.449 1.45)63.3% (-1.449 -1.45)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 32.49%
    Las Palmas 40.01%
    Draw 27.48%
ValenciaDrawLas Palmas
1-0 @ 10.12% (-0.42 -0.42)
2-1 @ 7.32% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
2-0 @ 5.71% (-0.257 -0.26)
3-1 @ 2.75% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.15% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-2 @ 1.76% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 32.49%
1-1 @ 12.98% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 8.98% (-0.331 -0.33)
2-2 @ 4.69% (0.094 0.09)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.48%
0-1 @ 11.52% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.33% (0.199 0.2)
0-2 @ 7.39% (0.205 0.21)
1-3 @ 3.56% (0.195 0.2)
0-3 @ 3.16% (0.184 0.18)
2-3 @ 2.01% (0.103 0.1)
1-4 @ 1.14% (0.097 0.1)
0-4 @ 1.01% (0.09 0.09)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 40.01%

How you voted: Valencia vs Las Palmas

Valencia
82.3%
Draw
6.5%
Las Palmas
11.3%
62
Head to Head
Jan 20, 2018 7.45pm
Las Palmas
2-1
Valencia
Viera (20'), Calleri (53' pen.)
Samperio (73'), Halilovic (76')
Mina (5')
Lato (21'), Vezo (26'), Paulista (52'), Montoya (62'), Zaza (70'), Neto (72'), Coquelin (90')
Paulista (52'), Vezo (87')
Jan 9, 2018 8.30pm
Fifth Round
Valencia
4-0
Las Palmas
Vietto (30', 48', 66'), Maksimovic (54')
Latorre (81')

Garcia (90')
Jan 3, 2018 8pm
Fifth Round
Las Palmas
1-1
Valencia
Calleri (36')
Galvez (62'), Navarro (78'), Calleri (90')
Rodrigo (85')
Zaza (76')
Aug 18, 2017 9pm
Valencia
1-0
Las Palmas
Zaza (22')
Zaza (9'), Parejo (40'), Gaya (71')

Navarro (47'), Bigas (67'), Simon (80')
Halilovic (33')
Jan 30, 2017 7.45pm
Las Palmas
3-1
Valencia
Viera (42'), Lemos (58'), Boateng (61')
Mesa (82')
Mina (21')
Nani (27'), Perez (44'), El-Haddadi (48'), Parejo (64')
El-Haddadi (51')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Tuesday, June 18
 
5pm
Wednesday, June 19
 
2pm
 
5pm
Thursday, June 20
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 22
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany11003
2 Switzerland Switzerland11003
3 Hungary Hungary10010
4 Scotland flag Scotland10010

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Spain Spain11003
2 Italy Italy11003
3 Albania national flag Albania10010
4 Croatia Croatia10010

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England11003
2 Denmark Denmark10101
3 Slovenia Slovenia10101
4 Serbia Serbia10010

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands11003
2 France France11003
3 Poland Poland10010
4 Austria Austria10010

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania11003
2 Slovakia Slovakia11003
3 Belgium Belgium10010
4 Ukraine Ukraine10010

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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