La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 19

Jan 4, 2024 at 6.15pm UK

Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan

Sevilla
0 - 2
Athletic Bilbao

Sow (36'), Rakitic (75'), Marcao (86')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Vesga (30'), Paredes (76')
Garcia (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sevilla

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Atletico 1-0 Sevilla
Saturday, December 23 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Las Palmas
Wednesday, December 20 at 8.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Sevilla 1-1 Athletic Bilbao

While Athletic may be unbeaten in 10 competitive matches, they have had to settle for draws in their last two away games in La Liga, and we think that they will have to be content with a point when they face a Sevilla side that has drawn four of their previous five home league matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 39.95%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 33.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Sevilla	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
33.69% ( 2.06)	26.35% ( 0.78)	39.95% ( -2.84)

Both teams to score 52.7% (

-1.88)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.03% (

-2.72)

51.97% (

2.72)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.29% (

-2.4)

73.71% (

2.4)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.79% (

-0)

29.21% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.84% (

-0.01)

65.15% (

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.44% (

-2.65)

25.56% (

2.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.58% (

-3.76)

60.42% (

3.76)

Score Analysis

Sevilla 33.69%

Athletic Bilbao 39.95%

Draw 26.35%

Sevilla	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.95) 2-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.59) 3-1 @ 3.16% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.24) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.53% Total : 33.69%	1-1 @ 12.53% ( 0.4) 0-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.78) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.24) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.35%	0-1 @ 10.18% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 8.55% ( -0.39) 0-2 @ 6.95% ( -0.32) 1-3 @ 3.89% ( -0.51) 0-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.41) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.31) 1-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.29) 0-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.24) Other @ 2.43% Total : 39.95%