La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 20

Feb 6, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio de Vallecas

Rayo Vallecano
2 - 0
Almeria

Ely (54' og.), Garcia (63')
Balliu (17'), Trejo (25'), Catena (57')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Baptistao (13'), Akieme (31'), Robertone (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Villarreal 0-1 Rayo Vallecano
Monday, January 30 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Almeria

All competitions

Last Game: Almeria 3-1 Espanyol
Friday, January 27 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Rayo Vallecano 1-0 Almeria

Almeria are having an impressive season, but their away form has been so disappointing. Indeed, the promoted outfit are yet to win a single match on their travels, so it is difficult to back them to beat a strong Rayo outfit. It would not be a shock to see a draw here, but we are just backing Rayo to secure all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 53.88%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 21.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.

Result
Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Almeria
53.88% ( -0.23)	24.54% ( 0.04)	21.57% ( 0.19)

Both teams to score 49.32% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.93% (

0.03)

52.07% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.2% (

0.03)

73.79% (

-0.03)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.73% (

-0.08)

19.26% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.01% (

-0.13)

50.98% (

0.13)

Almeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.09% (

0.21)

38.91% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.36% (

0.2)

75.63% (

-0.2)

Score Analysis

Rayo Vallecano 53.88%

Almeria 21.57%

Draw 24.54%

Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Almeria
1-0 @ 12.34% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 10.16% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.17% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 2.95% Total : 53.88%	1-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.49% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.86% Total : 24.54%	0-1 @ 7.07% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.46% Total : 21.57%