La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 26

Feb 25, 2024 at 1pm UK

Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla

Cadiz
2 - 2
Celta Vigo

Juanmi (66'), Machis (90+10')
Juanmi (72'), Alcaraz (86')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Aspas (11'), Swedberg (58')
Tapia (33'), Manquillo (41'), Aspas (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Cadiz and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cadiz

All competitions

Last Game: Osasuna 2-0 Cadiz
Saturday, February 17 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Celta Vigo

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-2 Barcelona
Saturday, February 17 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

It is so difficult to back either of these two sides at the moment, so we have had to settle on a 1-1 draw, which was also on the scoreline in the reverse meeting between the teams in Vigo earlier this season. The desire not to lose is expected to make Sunday's contest a tense and nervy affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 1-0 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Cadiz	Draw	Celta Vigo
30.92% ( -0.29)	28.32% ( 0.23)	40.76% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 46% (

-0.75)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.93% (

-0.89)

60.07% (

0.88)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.71% (

-0.68)

80.29% (

0.68)

Cadiz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.72% (

-0.69)

35.28% (

0.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.96% (

-0.73)

72.04% (

0.72)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.07% (

-0.4)

28.92% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.2% (

-0.5)

64.8% (

0.49)

Score Analysis

Cadiz 30.92%

Celta Vigo 40.75%

Draw 28.31%

Cadiz	Draw	Celta Vigo
1-0 @ 10.63% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 6.87% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 1.92% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.09% Total : 30.92%	1-1 @ 13.18% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 10.2% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.31%	0-1 @ 12.65% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 8.18% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 7.85% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 3.25% 2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.62% Total : 40.75%