La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 26

Feb 24, 2024 at 8pm UK

Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos

Almeria
2 - 2
Atletico

Romero (27', 64')
Embarba (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Correa (2'), De Paul (57')
Mandava (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Almeria and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Almeria

All competitions

Last Game: Granada 1-1 Almeria
Sunday, February 18 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 Atletico
Tuesday, February 20 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Almeria 0-1 Atletico Madrid

Almeria are certainly capable of making this a difficult match for Atletico, especially as they held Athletic to a goalless draw in their last match on home soil. Atletico will also be without their star player in Griezmann, but we believe that Simeone's side will still have enough quality to secure an important three points on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Almeria has a probability of 28.89% and a draw has a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Almeria win is 1-0 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.01%).

Result
Almeria	Draw	Atletico Madrid
28.89% ( -0.12)	25.31% ( 0)	45.8% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 54% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.65% (

-0.08)

49.35% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.6% (

-0.07)

71.4% (

0.07)

Almeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.83% (

-0.12)

31.17% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.49% (

-0.15)

67.51% (

0.15)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.45% (

0.02)

21.55% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.38% (

0.03)

54.62% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Almeria 28.89%

Atletico Madrid 45.79%

Draw 25.3%

Almeria	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 7.83% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.72% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.91% Total : 28.89%	1-1 @ 12.01% 0-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.3%	0-1 @ 10.3% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.22% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.91% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.72% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.05% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.81% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 45.79%