Eredivisie | Gameweek 26

Mar 17, 2024 at 3.45pm UK

Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel

Sparta
2 - 2
Ajax

Verschueren (28', 47')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Akpom (65'), Bergwijn (88')
Taylor (89')
Kaplan (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions

Last Game: FC Twente 2-1 Sparta
Saturday, March 9 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Ajax

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Aston Villa 4-0 Ajax
Thursday, March 14 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Sparta Rotterdam 2-3 Ajax

Having watched the manner of Ajax's performance against Villa, Sparta will fancy their chances of inflicting more misery on the fallen giants. However, Van't Schip may now realise that their recent switch in formation is not sustainable, and we are expecting Ajax to get back on track with a thrilling win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 38.94% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.07%) and 1-3 (4.76%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	Ajax
38.94% ( 0.81)	22.08% ( -0.04)	38.98% ( -0.76)

Both teams to score 69.07% (

0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.96% (

0.27)

31.04% (

-0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.56% (

0.31)

52.44% (

-0.31)

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.1% (

0.46)

16.9% (

-0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.06% (

0.81)

46.94% (

-0.8)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.12% (

-0.2)

16.88% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.09% (

-0.36)

46.91% (

0.36)

Score Analysis

Sparta Rotterdam 38.94%

Ajax 38.98%

Draw 22.08%

Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	Ajax
2-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 5.07% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.75% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.05) 4-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.38% Total : 38.94%	1-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 7.14% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.57% Total : 22.08%	1-2 @ 8.03% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 5.07% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 4.76% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 4.23% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 2.12% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.88% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.05) 3-4 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 3.39% Total : 38.98%