Eredivisie | Gameweek 26

Mar 17, 2024 at 1.30pm UK

Stadion Galgenwaard

Utrecht
1 - 0
Nijmegen

Lammers (61')
Bozdogan (42'), van der Hoorn (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Nuytinck (19')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between FC Utrecht and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Utrecht

All competitions

Last Game: Almere City 1-1 Utrecht
Saturday, March 9 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

NEC

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Nijmegen 2-0 Heerenveen
Sunday, March 10 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

There is little to pick between the sides heading into this one, and Sunday's game could easily head either way. That said, we are backing the hosts to get the job done come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 54.47%. A win for NEC had a probability of 24.36% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.16%) and 1-0 (6.92%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-2 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.

Result
FC Utrecht	Draw	NEC
54.47% ( -0.03)	21.17% ( 0.16)	24.36% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 64.24% (

-0.73)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.97% (

-0.89)

34.03% (

0.9)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.1% (

-1.02)

55.9% (

1.03)

FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.35% (

-0.3)

12.65% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.2% (

-0.64)

38.8% (

0.65)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.54% (

-0.57)

26.46% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.36% (

-0.77)

61.64% (

0.78)

Score Analysis

FC Utrecht 54.47%

NEC 24.36%

Draw 21.17%

FC Utrecht	Draw	NEC
2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.16) 1-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 6.56% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.55% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 1% ( -0.05) 5-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.46% Total : 54.47%	1-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.37% Total : 21.17%	1-2 @ 6.12% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.45% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.31% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.19% Total : 24.36%