Eredivisie | Gameweek 26

Mar 19, 2023 at 7pm UK

De Grolsch Veste

FC Twente
2 - 1
AZ

Ugalde (8', 11')
Pleguezuelo (61'), Cerny (90+3')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Karlsson (66')
Karlsson (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between FC Twente and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Twente

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Sittard 0-3 FC Twente
Saturday, March 11 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: AZ 2-1 Lazio
Thursday, March 16 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: FC Twente 2-2 AZ Alkmaar

AZ head into the clash on a better run of results but Twente have repeatedly shown how tough to beat they are on home turf. We expect a highly-entertaining affair here with goals at both ends and honours even come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 50.09%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 25.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.

Result
FC Twente	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
50.09% ( 0.25)	24.34% ( -0.02)	25.58% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 54.48% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.52% (

-0.09)

47.48% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.31% (

-0.08)

69.7% (

0.08)

FC Twente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.01% (

0.06)

18.99% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.46% (

0.11)

50.54% (

-0.11)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.25% (

-0.23)

32.75% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.69% (

-0.26)

69.31% (

0.26)

Score Analysis

FC Twente 50.09%

AZ Alkmaar 25.58%

Draw 24.34%

FC Twente	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
1-0 @ 10.33% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.58% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.31% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 3.17% Total : 50.09%	1-1 @ 11.53% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.34%	0-1 @ 6.94% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.5% Total : 25.58%