Coupe de France | Semi-Finals
Apr 2, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Parc Olympique Lyonnais
We said: Lyon 3-0 Valenciennes
Given how poor their domestic campaign has gone, Valenciennes deserve much credit for their performance at the Coupe de France, though they have not faced many top-class sides to get here.
Lyon have been one of the hottest teams in the French top flight this year, and regardless of who plays on Tuesday, we believe even their reserves should be able to handle a side that seem destined to play in the third tier of French football next season.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 63.27% . A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Valenciennes had a probability of 16.11% .
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.85% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (9.92%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%) , while for a Valenciennes win it was 0-1 (4.81%) . The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Lyon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lyon.
Result Lyon Draw Valenciennes 63.27% ( -0.37) 20.62% ( 0.1) 16.11% ( 0.27)
Both teams to score 52.02% ( 0.27)
56.39% ( 0.05) 43.61% ( -0.05)
34% ( 0.05) 66% ( -0.05)
86.86% ( -0.09) 13.14% ( 0.09)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 60.2% ( -0.18) 39.81% ( 0.19)
59.89% ( 0.37) 40.12% ( -0.37)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 23.24% ( 0.34) 76.76% ( -0.33)
Lyon 63.26%
Valenciennes 16.11%
Draw 20.62%
Lyon Draw Valenciennes 2-0 @ 10.85% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 10.69% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 6.71% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.11% Total : 63.26% 1-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.62% 0-1 @ 4.81% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.9% Total : 16.11%
How you voted: Lyon vs Valenciennes
49
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-18 13:46:55
Tuesday, June 18
Wednesday, June 19
Thursday, June 20
Friday, June 21
Saturday, June 22
Sunday, June 23
Monday, June 24
Tuesday, June 25
Wednesday, June 26
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Premier League La Liga Serie A Bundesliga Ligue 1 Primeira Liga Eredivisie Turkish Super Lig Champions League Europa League Europa Conference League Championship League One League Two FA Cup EFL Cup EFL Trophy National League National League Playoffs National League North National League South Women's FA Cup Women's Super League Premier League 2 - Div 1 Premier League 2 - Div 2 Scottish Premiership Scottish Cup Scottish League Cup Scottish Championship Scottish League One Scottish League Two NIFL Premiership Welsh Premier League League of Ireland Premier Copa del Rey Coppa Italia DFB-Pokal KNVB Beker Taca de Portugal Turkish Cup Women's Champions League Greek Superleague Belgian Pro League Swiss Super League Austrian Bundesliga Polish Ekstraklasa Ukrainian Premier League Russian Premier League Norwegian Eliteserien Swedish Allsvenskan Danish Superliga Finnish Veikkausliiga Hungarian NB I Croatian 1. HNL Romanian SuperLiga Czech Liga Slovenian PrvaLiga Slovak First Football League Belarusian Premier League Champions League Qualifying Europa League Qualifying Major League Soccer Brasileiro Argentine Primera Division Liga MX Uruguayan Primera Division Israeli Premier League Saudi Pro League Qatar Stars League Australian A-League Chinese Super League J1 League Copa Libertadores Copa Sudamericana AFC Champions League CONCACAF Champions League Club World Cup Segunda Division Serie B 2.Bundesliga Ligue 2 Eerste Divisie Euro Champ Qualifying Women's World Cup Nations League World Cup European Championship Copa America Africa Cup of Nations CONCACAF Gold Cup Confederations Cup CONCACAF Nations League World Cup Qualifying - Europe World Cup Qualifying - South America World Cup Qualifying - Africa World Cup Qualifying - Asia World Cup Qualifying - North Central America World Cup Qualifying - Oceania African Nations Championship Olympic Games Men's Football Olympic Games Women's Football Women's European Championship SheBelieves Cup Arnold Clark Cup Under-20s World Cup European Under-21s Championship European Under-19s Championship European Under-17s Championship
1
Chelsea Champions League hero announces retirement
2
Premier League fixtures 2024-25: Full lists for all 20 teams, best games, key dates
3
Transfer news and rumours: West Ham want Clarke, Sessegnon, Coventry chase international
4
Oldest scorers in European Championship history
5
Arsenal to raise £80m from wantaway trio?
6
Premier League 2024-25 fixtures confirmed: Man City face Chelsea on opening weekend
7
Arsenal 'make big academy decision' which could impact transfer plans
8
Transfer rumours: Abraham to Aston Villa, Gross to Dortmund, Thorsteinsson to Newcastle
9
Portugal vs. Czech Republic - prediction, team news, lineups
10
Turkey vs. Georgia - prediction, team news, lineups