Cangzhou have struggled in front of goal of late, and we can see that trend continuing here. That said, Meizhou have not been particularly great in attack either, but we fancy them to scrape a narrow win come the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Meizhou Hakka win with a probability of 55.02%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 20.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Meizhou Hakka win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 0-1 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Meizhou Hakka would win this match.

Result
Meizhou Hakka	Draw	Cangzhou Mighty Lions
55.02% ( -1.32)	24.82% ( 0.5)	20.15% ( 0.81)

Both teams to score 46.57% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.3% (

-0.9)

54.7% (

0.9)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.97% (

-0.75)

76.02% (

0.75)

Meizhou Hakka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.17% (

-0.85)

19.83% (

0.85)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.08% (

-1.4)

51.92% (

1.4)

Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.09% (

0.38)

41.91% (

-0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.64% (

0.33)

78.36% (

-0.33)

Score Analysis

Meizhou Hakka 55.01%

Cangzhou Mighty Lions 20.15%

Draw 24.82%

Meizhou Hakka	Draw	Cangzhou Mighty Lions
1-0 @ 13.44% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 10.87% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.27) 3-1 @ 5.1% ( -0.18) 4-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.06% ( -0.13) Other @ 3.62% Total : 55.01%	1-1 @ 11.69% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.7% Total : 24.82%	0-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.12% Total : 20.15%