Championship

Championship | Gameweek 38

Mar 16, 2024 at 12.30pm UK

Swansea.com Stadium

Swansea
2 - 0
Cardiff

Cullen (34'), Lowe (90+6')
Darling (17'), Allen (21')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Meite (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swansea City

All competitions

Last Game: Bristol City 1-0 Swansea
Sunday, March 10 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cardiff City

All competitions

Last Game: Cardiff 2-1 Ipswich
Saturday, March 9 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Swansea City 1-1 Cardiff City

Swansea have struggled in recent matches but should be raring to fight during a South Wales derby in front of their own supporters at the Swansea.com Stadium. Cardiff are threatening a serious top-six push following four-straight wins, but we feel that the Bluebirds will be forced to share the points on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 43.17%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result
Swansea City	Draw	Cardiff City
43.17% ( 0.02)	25.62% ( 0.01)	31.21% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 54.24% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.4% (

-0.06)

49.6% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.37% (

-0.05)

71.63% (

0.06)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.12% (

-0.02)

22.88% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.37% (

-0.02)

56.63% (

0.03)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.34% (

-0.05)

29.66% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.29% (

-0.06)

65.71% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Swansea City 43.17%

Cardiff City 31.21%

Draw 25.62%

Swansea City	Draw	Cardiff City
1-0 @ 10.01% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.97% 2-0 @ 7.38% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.41% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.63% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.63% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.34% 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.13% Total : 43.17%	1-1 @ 12.16% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.62%	0-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.39% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.01% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.03% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 31.21%