Championship | Gameweek 1
Aug 6, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadium of Light
We said: Sunderland 1-1 Ipswich Town
Two teams with big expectations should make for an intriguing contest on Sunday, Ipswich somewhat of an unknown quantity back at this level. Nevertheless, they may relish being underdogs on this stage, and we are backing the Tractor Boys to earn a share of the spoils.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 42.56% . A win for Sunderland had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.1% .
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.26% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (6.98%) . The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-0 (7.87%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%) . The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
Result Sunderland Draw Ipswich Town 32.3% ( 0.31) 25.14% ( -0.15) 42.56% ( -0.16)
Both teams to score 56.27% ( 0.63)
52.83% ( 0.76) 47.16% ( -0.76)
30.6% ( 0.7) 69.39% ( -0.7)
72.26% ( 0.57) 27.74% ( -0.57)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 36.69% ( 0.73) 63.31% ( -0.73)
77.88% ( 0.25) 22.12% ( -0.25)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 44.5% ( 0.38) 55.49% ( -0.38)
Sunderland 32.3%
Ipswich Town 42.56%
Draw 25.14%
Sunderland Draw Ipswich Town 1-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 7.61% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 5.05% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.87% Total : 32.3% 1-1 @ 11.87% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.14% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.14% 0-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 8.95% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.98% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 4.5% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.32% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.35% Total : 42.56%
How you voted: Sunderland vs Ipswich
Sunderland
Draw
Ipswich Town
27
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-18 16:22:25
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