Championship

Championship | Gameweek 38

Apr 23, 2024 at 8pm UK

King Power Stadium

Leicester
5 - 0
Southampton

Fatawu (25', 75', 81'), Ndidi (62'), Vardy (79')
Vestergaard (66')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Leicester City and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leicester City

All competitions

Last Game: Leicester 2-1 West Brom
Saturday, April 20 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Southampton

All competitions

Last Game: Cardiff 2-1 Southampton
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Leicester City 3-1 Southampton

Although not at their best versus West Brom - particular during the first period - Leicester got the job done, and we can imagine a similar narrative unfolding on Tuesday night. Southampton will be sapped of energy following Saturday's last-minute defeat at Cardiff, so we are predicting back-to-back losses for the Saints. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 52.64%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 25.26% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.75%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester City	Draw	Southampton
52.64%	22.1% ( 0)	25.26%

Both teams to score 61.83% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.38% (

-0.01)

37.62% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.14% (

-0.01)

59.86% (

0.01)

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.56% (

-0)

14.44% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.62% (

-0.01)

42.38% (

0.01)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.27% (

-0)

27.73% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.7% (

-0.01)

63.3% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Leicester City 52.64%

Southampton 25.26%

Draw 22.1%

Leicester City	Draw	Southampton
2-1 @ 9.62% 1-0 @ 7.75% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.5% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.2% 3-0 @ 4.84% 3-2 @ 3.98% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.34% 4-2 @ 1.93% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.16% 5-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.42% Total : 52.64%	1-1 @ 9.94% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.17% 0-0 @ 4% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.7% ( -0) Other @ 0.29% Total : 22.1%	1-2 @ 6.37% 0-1 @ 5.14% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.29% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.73% 2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.69% Total : 25.26%