Championship

Championship | Gameweek 27

Jan 13, 2024 at 3pm UK

Cardiff City Stadium

Cardiff
0 - 3
Leeds

Ng (45+2')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Bamford (13'), James (31'), Rutter (88')
Gruev (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Sheff Weds 4-0 Cardiff
Saturday, January 6 at 5.30pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Leeds United

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Peterborough 0-3 Leeds
Sunday, January 7 at 2pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Cardiff City 1-2 Leeds United

On the back of last week's debacle at Hillsborough, Cardiff may benefit from playing in such a high-profile fixture. Nevertheless, the superior quality comes from Leeds' ranks, and we feel that the visitors will edge this contest courtesy of a fast start to proceedings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 45%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Cardiff City	Draw	Leeds United
29.17% ( 0.01)	25.83% ( 0)	45% ( -0)

Both teams to score 52.51%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.63%

51.37% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.81% (

-0)

73.19% (

0.01)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.99% (

32.01% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.53% (

68.47% (

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.23%

22.77% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.54% (

-0)

56.47% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Cardiff City 29.17%

Leeds United 45%

Draw 25.83%

Cardiff City	Draw	Leeds United
1-0 @ 8.3% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.73% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.66% 3-2 @ 1.97% 3-0 @ 1.8% ( 0) Other @ 2.72% Total : 29.17%	1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 7.29% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.83%	0-1 @ 10.78% 1-2 @ 9.09% 0-2 @ 7.98% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.48% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.94% 2-3 @ 2.55% 1-4 @ 1.66% 0-4 @ 1.46% 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.11% Total : 45%