Championship

Championship | Gameweek 31

Feb 10, 2024 at 3pm UK

Ewood Park

Blackburn
3 - 1
Stoke

Dolan (7', 37'), Szmodics (19')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Ennis (39')
McNally (29'), Tchamadeu (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Blackburn Rovers

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Blackburn 1-2 QPR
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Stoke City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Stoke 0-5 Leicester
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Blackburn Rovers 1-2 Stoke City

Although Eustace could be in the dugout in time for Saturday, we do not expect a new manager bounce immediately for Blackburn this weekend. Stoke were woeful in the Leicester defeat, but with a couple of alterations to the XI they should be good enough for three points from this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 46.16%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 30.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.37%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result
Blackburn Rovers	Draw	Stoke City
46.16% ( 0.03)	23.12%	30.72% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 62.69% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.58% (

-0.02)

38.42% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.29% (

-0.02)

60.71% (

0.02)

Blackburn Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.98% (

17.02% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.84% (

0.01)

47.16% (

-0.01)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.55% (

-0.03)

24.44% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.12% (

-0.04)

58.88% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Blackburn Rovers 46.16%

Stoke City 30.72%

Draw 23.11%

Blackburn Rovers	Draw	Stoke City
2-1 @ 9.19% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.42% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.85% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.82% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.4% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.71% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.69% ( -0) Other @ 4.19% Total : 46.16%	1-1 @ 10.37% 2-2 @ 6.47% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.16% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.79% ( -0) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.11%	1-2 @ 7.31% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.86% 0-2 @ 4.13% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.04% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.94% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 2.73% Total : 30.72%