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Championship | Gameweek 6
Sep 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ewood Park
Middlesbrough logo

Blackburn
2 - 1
Middlesbrough

Szmodics (31', 49')
Carter (28')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Crooks (55')
Lenihan (40'), Hackney (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Blackburn Rovers 2-1 Middlesbrough

With Carrick having had some prolonged time on the training pitch, he will hope that Boro return to action with more confidence than they entered the international break. Nevertheless, Blackburn appear more capable of winning this fixture, albeit in what should prove to be a competitive game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 35.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Blackburn Rovers in this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawMiddlesbrough
35.08% (0.025000000000006 0.03) 25.37% (0.0010000000000012 0) 39.56% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Both teams to score 56.26% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.5% (0.00099999999999767 0)47.5%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.29% (0.0019999999999989 0)69.71% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.79% (0.015000000000001 0.02)26.21% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.69% (0.018000000000001 0.02)61.31% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.25% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)23.75% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.11% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)57.89% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 35.08%
    Middlesbrough 39.56%
    Draw 25.36%
Blackburn RoversDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 8.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 8.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 5.58% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 3.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.57% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.2% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 35.08%
1-1 @ 11.98%
0-0 @ 6.23%
2-2 @ 5.77%
3-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.36%
0-1 @ 8.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 8.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 6.43% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 4.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 3.08% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 2.76% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.48% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 39.56%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Middlesbrough

Blackburn Rovers
61.8%
Draw
29.4%
Middlesbrough
8.8%
34
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Blackburn
1-2
Middlesbrough
Hedges (5')
Forss (46'), McGree (56')
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Middlesbrough
1-2
Blackburn
Watmore (45+1')
Lenihan (4' og.), Gallagher (17')
Jan 24, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Blackburn
1-0
Middlesbrough
Gallagher (76')
Nyambe (37'), Travis (50'), Wharton (90'), Edun (90+11')

Taylor (4'), Crooks (15'), Connolly (26'), Tavernier (29'), McNair (90+3'), Jones (90+9')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 5
Middlesbrough
1-1
Blackburn
Howson (36')
Olusanya (87')
Morsy (81')
Gallagher (17')
Carter (19'), Travis (87'), Dolan (90+4')
Carter (79')
Jan 24, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 26
Middlesbrough
0-1
Blackburn

Morsy (57'), Tavernier (81'), Bola (88')
Rothwell (63')
Davenport (26')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany11003
2 Switzerland Switzerland11003
3 Hungary Hungary10010
4 Scotland flag Scotland10010

Group B

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1 Spain Spain11003
2 Italy Italy11003
3 Albania national flag Albania10010
4 Croatia Croatia10010

Group C

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1 England flag England11003
2 Denmark Denmark10101
3 Slovenia Slovenia10101
4 Serbia Serbia10010

Group D

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1 Netherlands Netherlands11003
2 France France11003
3 Poland Poland10010
4 Austria Austria10010

Group E

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1 Romania Romania11003
2 Slovakia Slovakia11003
3 Belgium Belgium10010
4 Ukraine Ukraine10010

Group F

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1 Turkey Turkey11003
2 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Georgia Georgia10010


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