Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 25

Mar 10, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

Vonovia Ruhrstadion

VfL Bochum
1 - 2
Freiburg

Ordets (62')
Bernardo (32'), Masovic (45+4'), Losilla (82')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Eggestein (36'), Gregoritsch (53')
Hofler (34'), Eggestein (42'), Sallai (45+4'), Gulde (59'), Holer (74'), Gunter (83'), Kubler (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between VfL Bochum and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

VfL Bochum

All competitions

Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-4 RB Leipzig
Saturday, March 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Freiburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Freiburg 1-0 West Ham
Thursday, March 7 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: VfL Bochum 1-3 Freiburg

Maintaining the eight-point gap which Bochum have on the bottom three may be tough for the hosts here, considering they have lost five in a row against Freiburg and have been leaking goals at an alarming rate recently. The visitors have been struggling for wins themselves of late, but two fine results over the past week should give them a huge lift, even if there may be one eye on the trip to London coming up. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 38.15%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 37.9% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.11%) and 2-0 (5.48%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
VfL Bochum	Draw	Freiburg
38.15% ( -1.69)	23.95% ( 0.14)	37.9% ( 1.55)

Both teams to score 61.66% (

-0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.38% (

-0.59)

40.62% (

0.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37% (

-0.61)

63% (

0.61)

VfL Bochum Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.59% (

-1.07)

21.41% (

1.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.59% (

-1.67)

54.41% (

1.67)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.46% (

0.52)

21.53% (

-0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.4% (

0.8)

54.6% (

-0.79)

Score Analysis

VfL Bochum 38.15%

Freiburg 37.9%

Draw 23.95%

VfL Bochum	Draw	Freiburg
2-1 @ 8.41% ( -0.19) 1-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.24) 3-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.21) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.15) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.68% Total : 38.15%	1-1 @ 10.91% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6.46% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.95%	1-2 @ 8.38% ( 0.22) 0-1 @ 7.08% ( 0.3) 0-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.31) 1-3 @ 4.29% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.2) 1-4 @ 1.65% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.65% Total : 37.9%