Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 8

Oct 22, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

RheinEnergieStadion

FC Koln
3 - 1
Borussia M'bach

Kainz (9' pen., 76' pen.), Waldschmidt (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Elvedi (63')
Nicolas (74'), Scally (90+4')
Kone (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between FC Koln and Borussia Monchengladbach, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Koln

All competitions

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 3-0 FC Koln
Sunday, October 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Borussia Monchengladbach

All competitions

Last Game: Borussia M'bach 2-2 Mainz
Friday, October 6 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: FC Koln 1-1 Borussia Monchengladbach

These two sides have registered just one league win between them so far this season, suggesting there could be a chronic lack of confidence on display at RheinEnergieStadion this weekend. With every point collected crucial for both sets of managers and players even at this early stage of proceedings, we can envisage a low scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 43.36%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.4%) and 2-0 (5.68%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.

Result
FC Koln	Draw	Borussia Monchengladbach
43.36% ( 0.18)	22.79% ( 0.25)	33.85% ( -0.44)

Both teams to score 65.39% (

-1.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.52% (

-1.41)

35.48% (

1.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.47% (

-1.58)

57.53% (

1.58)

FC Koln Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.05% (

-0.5)

16.95% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.96% (

-0.89)

47.04% (

0.88)

Borussia Monchengladbach Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.74% (

-0.88)

21.26% (

0.88)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.82% (

-1.38)

54.18% (

1.38)

Score Analysis

FC Koln 43.36%

Borussia Monchengladbach 33.85%

Draw 22.79%

FC Koln	Draw	Borussia Monchengladbach
2-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.34) 2-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 5.2% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2.31% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.41% Total : 43.36%	1-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 6.8% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.25) 3-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.79%	1-2 @ 7.67% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.58% ( 0.25) 0-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 3.96% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.7% Total : 33.85%