Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 24

Mar 3, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

RheinEnergieStadion

FC Koln
0 - 2
B. Leverkusen

Ljubicic (16'), Martel (30')
Thielmann (14')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Frimpong (37'), Grimaldo (73')
Frimpong (23'), Stanisic (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between FC Koln and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Koln

All competitions

Last Game: Stuttgart 1-1 FC Koln
Saturday, February 24 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-1 Mainz
Friday, February 23 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: FC Koln 0-3 Bayer Leverkusen

Nothing can stop Leverkusen at the moment, as even when they are off-colour they are still picking up results, as they did against Mainz last time out, and another win is on the cards. Koln have not beaten a side at the top of the Bundesliga in their last 23 attempts, and they have shown little signs of changing that heading into this one, despite a respectable draw last weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 59.28%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for FC Koln had a probability of 18.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.07%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a FC Koln win it was 1-0 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
FC Koln	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
18.88% ( -1.12)	21.84% ( -0.1)	59.28% ( 1.22)

Both teams to score 53.58% (

-1.61)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.69% (

-1.2)

44.31% (

1.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.31% (

-1.18)

66.68% (

1.18)

FC Koln Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.72% (

-1.88)

37.27% (

1.88)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.94% (

-1.9)

74.06% (

1.9)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.42% (

-0.01)

14.58% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.34% (

-0.03)

42.65% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

FC Koln 18.88%

Bayer Leverkusen 59.27%

Draw 21.83%

FC Koln	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
1-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.1% ( -0.26) 2-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.17) Other @ 2.49% Total : 18.88%	1-1 @ 10.32% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.25) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.83%	0-1 @ 10.46% ( 0.53) 0-2 @ 10.07% ( 0.5) 1-2 @ 9.94% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 6.47% ( 0.32) 1-3 @ 6.38% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.17) 0-4 @ 3.11% ( 0.15) 1-4 @ 3.07% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.08) 0-5 @ 1.2% ( 0.06) 1-5 @ 1.18% ( -0) Other @ 2.72% Total : 59.27%