Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 3

Sep 2, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Campo La Quinta

Hoffenheim
3 - 1
Wolfsburg

Brooks (45+2'), Beier (60'), Skov (74')
Weghorst (10'), Bebou (25')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Tomas (36')
Maehle (43'), Svanberg (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hoffenheim

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Heidenheim 2-3 Hoffenheim
Saturday, August 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Wolfsburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: FC Koln 1-2 Wolfsburg
Saturday, August 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Hoffenheim 2-2 Wolfsburg

Despite their mixed start to the campaign, Hoffenheim clearly possess plenty of firepower within their attacking unit, and they will be confident of performing much better than last season. Likewise, Wolfsburg will be targeting a European spot after their near-miss in May, with Wind likely to fancy his chances of scoring for the third successive game. We can envisage a high-scoring draw at the PreZero Arena this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 41.86%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 34.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.94%) and 0-2 (5.81%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Hoffenheim	Draw	Wolfsburg
34.73% ( -0.2)	23.41% ( 0.09)	41.86% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 63.3% (

-0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.68% (

-0.48)

38.32% (

0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.4% (

-0.51)

60.6% (

0.51)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.88% (

-0.33)

22.12% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.51% (

-0.5)

55.49% (

0.5)

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.28% (

-0.15)

18.72% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.91% (

-0.25)

50.09% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

Hoffenheim 34.73%

Wolfsburg 41.86%

Draw 23.4%

Hoffenheim	Draw	Wolfsburg
2-1 @ 7.9% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 4.71% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.45% Total : 34.73%	1-1 @ 10.46% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.62% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.14% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.4%	1-2 @ 8.77% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.94% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 5.81% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 4.9% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.25% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 2.05% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.54% Total : 41.86%