Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 34

May 18, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

Campo La Quinta

Hoffenheim
4 - 2
Bayern

Beier (8'), Kramaric (68', 85', 87')
Promel (51'), Grillitsch (54'), Kramaric (88')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Tel (4'), Davies (6')
Zaragoza (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hoffenheim

All competitions

Last Game: Darmstadt 0-6 Hoffenheim
Sunday, May 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Bayern 2-0 Wolfsburg
Sunday, May 12 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Hoffenheim 2-1 Bayern Munich

Bayern's recent successful exploits against Hoffenheim should count for nought on Saturday, as Tuchel will have to put out a makeshift attack and has overseen several dismal defensive displays on the road of late. As such, the former champions' season seems destined to end on a sour note against Champions League-chasing Hoffenheim, who will then be forced to play the waiting game to learn their European fate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 50.23%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 30.51% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.99%) and 2-3 (5.69%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.

Result
Hoffenheim	Draw	Bayern Munich
30.51% ( -2.42)	19.26% ( -0.06)	50.23% ( 2.49)

Both teams to score 77.54% (

-1.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

80.63% (

-0.94)

19.37% (

0.94)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

62.81% (

-1.36)

37.19% (

1.37)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85% (

-1.49)

15% (

1.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.55% (

-2.9)

43.45% (

2.9)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.22% (

0.25)

8.78% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.85% (

0.58)

30.15% (

-0.58)

Score Analysis

Hoffenheim 30.51%

Bayern Munich 50.23%

Draw 19.26%

Hoffenheim	Draw	Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 5.77% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.28) 3-1 @ 3.65% ( -0.27) 1-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.26) 4-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.23) 4-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.13) Other @ 4.75% Total : 30.51%	2-2 @ 7.01% ( -0.05) 1-1 @ 6.08% ( 0.21) 3-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.1) 4-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.22% Total : 19.26%	1-2 @ 7.39% ( 0.33) 1-3 @ 5.99% ( 0.33) 2-3 @ 5.69% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.37) 1-4 @ 3.65% ( 0.24) 2-4 @ 3.46% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 3.2% ( 0.27) 0-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.33) 3-4 @ 2.19% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 1.92% ( 0.22) 1-5 @ 1.77% ( 0.14) 2-5 @ 1.68% ( 0.04) 3-5 @ 1.06% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 0.93% ( 0.12) Other @ 4.24% Total : 50.23%