Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 9

Oct 29, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Commerzbank-Arena

Frankfurt
3 - 3
Dortmund

Marmoush (8' pen., 24'), Chaibi (68')
Marmoush (41'), Buta (45+8'), Pacho (52')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Sabitzer (45+1'), Moukoko (54'), Brandt (82')
Ozcan (11'), Adeyemi (76'), Terzic (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Eintracht Frankfurt and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eintracht Frankfurt

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Frankfurt 6-0 HJK Helsinki
Thursday, October 26 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Newcastle 0-1 Dortmund
Wednesday, October 25 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Eintracht Frankfurt 1-2 Borussia Dortmund

Although Dortmund could be missing a few key players through injury if they can not recover in time for this match, Terzic's side have real momentum on their side at present, as well as decent squad depth to cope with some absentees. Frankfurt have improved themselves in recent weeks, but they do not possess as much quality as they have done in recent years, and we can envisage the visitors claiming another narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 47.74%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.25%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Eintracht Frankfurt	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
47.74% ( 0.17)	22.04% ( 0.16)	30.21% ( -0.32)

Both teams to score 66.4% (

-0.81)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.57% (

-0.97)

33.42% (

0.97)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.79% (

-1.12)

55.21% (

1.12)

Eintracht Frankfurt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.45% (

-0.3)

14.55% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.4% (

-0.59)

42.6% (

0.59)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.71% (

-0.67)

22.29% (

0.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.26% (

-1.01)

55.74% (

1.02)

Score Analysis

Eintracht Frankfurt 47.75%

Borussia Dortmund 30.21%

Draw 22.04%

Eintracht Frankfurt	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 5.81% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2.8% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.03) 4-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.49% Total : 47.75%	1-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 6.79% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 3.24% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.04%	1-2 @ 7.04% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.3% Total : 30.21%