Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 11

Nov 11, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Allianz Arena

Bayern
4 - 2
Heidenheim

Kane (14', 44'), Guerreiro (72'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (85')
Mazraoui (3')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Kleindienst (67'), Beste (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Heidenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Bayern 2-1 Galatasaray
Wednesday, November 8 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Heidenheim

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Heidenheim 2-0 Stuttgart
Sunday, November 5 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Bayern Munich 4-1 Heidenheim

Heidenheim have already frustrated Dortmund away from home this term, but they have since struggled in recent games on the road, losing each of their last four and conceding 11 goals in the process, and they head into Saturday's clash as major underdogs. Bayern, meanwhile, are enjoying an impressive run of form in the Bundesliga, largely thanks to the efforts of Kane in the final third, and we believe that the Bavarians will have few problems securing a comfortable win at the Allianz Arena. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 81.66%. A draw had a probability of 11.3% and a win for Heidenheim had a probability of 7.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.69%) and 3-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.86%), while for a Heidenheim win it was 1-2 (2.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern Munich	Draw	Heidenheim
81.66% ( -0.1)	11.29% ( 0.07)	7.04% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 56.33% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

77.01% (

-0.23)

22.99% (

0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

57.76% (

-0.31)

42.24% (

0.32)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.8% (

-0.05)

4.2% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

82.48% (

-0.18)

17.51% (

0.18)

Heidenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.8% (

-0.11)

41.2% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.27% (

-0.1)

77.73% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Bayern Munich 81.66%

Heidenheim 7.04%

Draw 11.29%

Bayern Munich	Draw	Heidenheim
3-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.69% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 8.15% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 7.28% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 6.46% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 4.09% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.02) 6-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.03) 5-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.02) 7-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.02) 7-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) 6-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.06% Total : 81.66%	1-1 @ 4.86% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 11.29%	1-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.34% Total : 7.04%