Brasileiro | Gameweek 8

Jun 14, 2024 at 12am UK

Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho

Flamengo
2 - 1
Gremio

Araujo (42', 67')
Pedro (32'), Tite (33'), Wesley (45+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Edenilson (90+6')
Pedro (46'), Galdino (55'), Kannemann (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Brasileiro clash between Flamengo and Gremio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Flamengo

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Vasco 1-6 Flamengo
Sunday, June 2 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Gremio

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Gremio 1-1 Estudiantes
Saturday, June 8 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Goals
for

Flamengo are the better team heading into this game, based on form and the league table. The home side are unbeaten at home so far while the visitors have lost both of their away games. We expect this to be close but the hosts should win this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 63.83%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Gremio had a probability of 15.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%), while for a Gremio win it was 0-1 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Flamengo in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Flamengo.

Result
Flamengo	Draw	Gremio
63.83% ( -0.85)	20.74% ( 0.47)	15.43% ( 0.38)

Both teams to score 50.05% (

-0.65)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.57% (

-1.33)

45.43% (

1.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.24% (

-1.28)

67.76% (

1.29)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.46% (

-0.66)

13.54% (

0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.39% (

-1.34)

40.61% (

1.34)

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.88% (

-0.31)

42.12% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.47% (

-0.26)

78.54% (

0.27)

Score Analysis

Flamengo 63.83%

Gremio 15.43%

Draw 20.74%

Flamengo	Draw	Gremio
1-0 @ 11.4% ( 0.37) 2-0 @ 11.4% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 6.57% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.1) 5-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.09) 5-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.83% Total : 63.83%	1-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.91% Total : 20.74%	0-1 @ 4.93% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.65% Total : 15.43%