Corinthians

2 - 2

Sao Paulo

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.